import numpy as np from caimira import models from caimira.data.weather import wx_data, nearest_wx_station MONTH_NAMES = [ 'January', 'February', 'March', 'April', 'May', 'June', 'July', 'August', 'September', 'October', 'November', 'December', ] def get_hourly_temperatures_celsius_per_hour(coordinates): wx_station_id = nearest_wx_station( longitude=coordinates[1], latitude=coordinates[0])[0] # Average temperature of each month, hour per hour (from midnight to 11 pm) return {month.replace(month, MONTH_NAMES[i][:3]): [t - 273.15 for t in temp] for i, (month, temp) in enumerate(wx_data()[wx_station_id].items())} # Load the weather data (temperature in kelvin) for Geneva. geneva_coordinates = (46.204391, 6.143158) local_hourly_temperatures_celsius_per_hour = get_hourly_temperatures_celsius_per_hour( geneva_coordinates) # Geneva hourly temperatures as piecewise constant function (in Kelvin). GenevaTemperatures_hourly = { month: models.PiecewiseConstant( # NOTE: It is important that the time type is float, not np.float, in # order to allow hashability (for caching). tuple(float(time) for time in range(25)), tuple(273.15 + np.array(temperatures)), ) for month, temperatures in local_hourly_temperatures_celsius_per_hour.items() } # Same Geneva temperatures on a finer temperature mesh (every 6 minutes). GenevaTemperatures = { month: GenevaTemperatures_hourly[month].refine(refine_factor=10) for month, temperatures in local_hourly_temperatures_celsius_per_hour.items() } # ------- VACCINATION DATA ------- # From data available in Results of COVID-19 Vaccine Effectiveness # Studies: An Ongoing Systematic Review - Updated September 8, 2022. # https://view-hub.org/resources vaccine_primary_host_immunity = { 'AZD1222_(AstraZeneca)': 0.589293, 'AZD1222_(AstraZeneca)_and_BNT162b2_(Pfizer)': 0.7865, 'AZD1222_(AstraZeneca)_and_any_mRNA_-_heterologous': 0.81, 'Ad26.COV2.S_(Janssen)': 0.551278, 'Any_mRNA_-_heterologous': 0.93875, 'BBIBP-CorV_(Beijing_CNBG)': 0.4325, 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)': 0.660272, 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)_and_mRNA-1273_(Moderna)': 0.586319, 'CoronaVac_(Sinovac)': 0.317333, 'CoronaVac_(Sinovac)_and_AZD1222_(AstraZeneca)': 0.472, 'CoronaVac_(Sinovac)_and_AZD1222_(AstraZeneca)_-_heterologous': 0.74, 'CoronaVac_(Sinovac)_and_BNT162b2_(Pfizer)': 0.7965, 'Covishield': 0.98, 'Sputnik_V_(Gamaleya)': 0.696, 'mRNA-1273_(Moderna)': 0.730148, } vaccine_booster_host_immunity = [ {'primary series vaccine': 'AZD1222_(AstraZeneca)', 'booster vaccine': 'AZD1222_(AstraZeneca)', 'VE': 0.500429}, {'primary series vaccine': 'AZD1222_(AstraZeneca)', 'booster vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)', 'VE': 0.537818}, {'primary series vaccine': 'AZD1222_(AstraZeneca)', 'booster vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)_or_mRNA-1273_(Moderna)', 'VE': 0.284}, {'primary series vaccine': 'AZD1222_(AstraZeneca)', 'booster vaccine': 'mRNA-1273_(Moderna)', 'VE': 0.709143}, {'primary series vaccine': 'Ad26.COV2.S_(Janssen)', 'booster vaccine': 'Ad26.COV2.S_(Janssen)', 'VE': 0.492667}, {'primary series vaccine': 'Ad26.COV2.S_(Janssen)', 'booster vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)_or_mRNA-1273_(Moderna)', 'VE': 0.79}, {'primary series vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)', 'booster vaccine': 'AZD1222_(AstraZeneca)', 'VE': 0.801}, {'primary series vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)', 'booster vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)', 'VE': 0.60712}, {'primary series vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)', 'booster vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)_or_mRNA-1273_(Moderna)', 'VE': 0.632633}, {'primary series vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)', 'booster vaccine': 'mRNA-1273_(Moderna)', 'VE': 0.716786}, {'primary series vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)_and_mRNA-1273_(Moderna)', 'booster vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)_and_mRNA-1273_(Moderna)', 'VE': 0.645}, {'primary series vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)_(3_doses)', 'booster vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)_(4th_dose)', 'VE': 0.962}, {'primary series vaccine': 'CoronaVac_(Sinovac)', 'booster vaccine': 'AZD1222_(AstraZeneca)', 'VE': 0.9405}, {'primary series vaccine': 'CoronaVac_(Sinovac)', 'booster vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)', 'VE': 0.690563}, {'primary series vaccine': 'CoronaVac_(Sinovac)', 'booster vaccine': 'CoronaVac_(Sinovac)', 'VE': 0.52225}, {'primary series vaccine': 'mRNA-1273_(Moderna)', 'booster vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)', 'VE': 0.842143}, {'primary series vaccine': 'mRNA-1273_(Moderna)', 'booster vaccine': 'BNT162b2_(Pfizer)_or_mRNA-1273_(Moderna)', 'VE': 0.632633}, {'primary series vaccine': 'mRNA-1273_(Moderna)', 'booster vaccine': 'mRNA-1273_(Moderna)', 'VE': 0.633238} ]