pingu_98/cosmicraysandearthquakes
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Author SHA1 Message Date
root
556261f842 Add notebook, logs, and updated result reports 
- CosmicRayNeutronQuakeAnalysis.ipynb: exploratory analysis notebook
- logs/: download and analysis run logs
- results/*_report.md: updated analysis reports reflecting corrected
  seismic metric and additional robustness checks

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-04-24 21:25:59 +02:00
root
9c226807c1 Add OOS and combined analysis results (scripts 07-08) 
Out-of-sample (2020-2025): r(+15d)=+0.045, p=0.994 — not significant.
Combined (1976-2025): p=0.039 (2.1σ), sinusoid P=9.95 yr, BF=27.5.
Bayes factor strongly favours solar-cycle modulation over a constant,
confirming the correlation is driven by the shared ~10-year solar cycle
rather than a causal CR→seismic mechanism.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-04-24 07:34:24 +02:00