cosmicraysandearthquakes/paper/refs.bib
root f99b2fc04e Add scientific paper (LaTeX + PDF)
19-page paper covering the full analysis: in-sample replication,
IAAFT surrogate testing, solar-cycle detrending, geographic localisation
scan, pre-registered out-of-sample validation, and combined sinusoidal
Bayes-factor analysis. Conclusion: the CR-seismic correlation is a
solar-cycle artefact with no physical causal link.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-24 07:51:30 +02:00

187 lines
5.3 KiB
BibTeX

@article{Homola2023,
author = {Homola, Piotr and others},
title = {Indication of Correlation between Cosmic-Ray Flux and
Global Seismicity},
journal = {Remote Sensing},
year = {2023},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {200},
doi = {10.3390/rs15010200},
}
@article{Bretherton1999,
author = {Bretherton, Christopher S. and Widmann, Martin and
Dymnikov, Valentin P. and Wallace, John M. and Blade, Ileana},
title = {The effective number of spatial degrees of freedom of a
time-varying field},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
year = {1999},
volume = {12},
number = {7},
pages = {1990--2009},
doi = {10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<1990:TENOSD>2.0.CO;2},
}
@article{Theiler1992,
author = {Theiler, James and Eubank, Stephen and Longtin, Andr{\'e} and
Galdrikian, Bryan and Farmer, J. Doyne},
title = {Testing for nonlinearity in time series: the method of
surrogate data},
journal = {Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena},
year = {1992},
volume = {58},
number = {1--4},
pages = {77--94},
doi = {10.1016/0167-2789(92)90102-S},
}
@article{Schreiber2000,
author = {Schreiber, Thomas and Schmitz, Andreas},
title = {Surrogate time series},
journal = {Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena},
year = {2000},
volume = {142},
number = {3--4},
pages = {346--382},
doi = {10.1016/S0167-2789(00)00043-9},
}
@article{Benjamini1995,
author = {Benjamini, Yoav and Hochberg, Yosef},
title = {Controlling the false discovery rate: a practical and powerful
approach to multiple testing},
journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B},
year = {1995},
volume = {57},
number = {1},
pages = {289--300},
doi = {10.1111/j.2517-6161.1995.tb02031.x},
}
@article{HP1997,
author = {Hodrick, Robert J. and Prescott, Edward C.},
title = {Postwar {U.S.} business cycles: an empirical investigation},
journal = {Journal of Money, Credit and Banking},
year = {1997},
volume = {29},
number = {1},
pages = {1--16},
doi = {10.2307/2953682},
}
@article{Cleveland1990,
author = {Cleveland, Robert B. and Cleveland, William S. and
McRae, Jean E. and Terpenning, Irma},
title = {{STL}: A seasonal-trend decomposition procedure based on {LOESS}},
journal = {Journal of Official Statistics},
year = {1990},
volume = {6},
number = {1},
pages = {3--73},
}
@article{Potgieter2013,
author = {Potgieter, Marius S.},
title = {Solar modulation of cosmic rays},
journal = {Living Reviews in Solar Physics},
year = {2013},
volume = {10},
number = {1},
pages = {3},
doi = {10.12942/lrsp-2013-3},
}
@article{Odintsov2006,
author = {Odintsov, Stanislav and Boyarchuk, Kirill and Georgieva, Katya and
Kirov, Boian and Atanasov, Dimitar},
title = {Long-period trends in global seismic and geomagnetic activity and
their relation to solar activity},
journal = {Physics and Chemistry of the Earth},
year = {2006},
volume = {31},
number = {1--3},
pages = {88--93},
doi = {10.1016/j.pce.2005.03.004},
}
@article{Tavares2011,
author = {Tavares, Mario and Azevedo, Angelo},
title = {Influences of solar cycles on earthquakes},
journal = {Pattern Recognition in Physics},
year = {2011},
volume = {1},
number = {1},
pages = {1--11},
}
@article{Stoupel1990,
author = {Stoupel, Eliyahu},
title = {Relationship between solar and seismic activity},
journal = {International Journal of Biometeorology},
year = {1990},
volume = {34},
number = {4},
pages = {231--235},
doi = {10.1007/BF01049646},
}
@article{Urata2018,
author = {Urata, Naoyuki and Tanimoto, Toshiro},
title = {Correlation between cosmic rays and seismicity: a case study
in {Japan}},
journal = {Earth, Planets and Space},
year = {2018},
volume = {70},
number = {1},
pages = {55},
doi = {10.1186/s40623-018-0826-5},
}
@article{Pulinets2004,
author = {Pulinets, Sergey and Boyarchuk, Kirill},
title = {Ionospheric precursors of earthquakes},
journal = {Springer},
year = {2004},
}
@book{Jeffreys1961,
author = {Jeffreys, Harold},
title = {Theory of Probability},
edition = {3rd},
publisher = {Oxford University Press},
year = {1961},
}
@article{Aplin2005,
author = {Aplin, Karen L.},
title = {Atmospheric electrification in the solar system},
journal = {Surveys in Geophysics},
year = {2006},
volume = {27},
number = {1},
pages = {63--108},
doi = {10.1007/s10712-005-0642-9},
}
@misc{USGS2024,
author = {{USGS Earthquake Hazards Program}},
title = {Earthquake catalogue via {FDSN} web service},
year = {2024},
howpublished = {\url{https://earthquake.usgs.gov/fdsnws/event/1/}},
}
@misc{SIDC2024,
author = {{SILSO World Data Center}},
title = {The International Sunspot Number},
year = {2024},
howpublished = {Royal Observatory of Belgium, Brussels.
\url{https://www.sidc.be/silso/datafiles}},
}
@misc{NMDB2024,
author = {{NMDB Consortium}},
title = {Neutron Monitor Database},
year = {2024},
howpublished = {\url{https://www.nmdb.eu}},
}