cosmicraysandearthquakes/results/homola_replication.json
root abf00b89f4 Add analysis results: scripts 01-05 outputs
Benchmark, Homola replication, stress test, detrended analysis, and
geographic localisation results including figures. Pre-registration
and data availability already committed separately.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-24 00:45:17 +02:00

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{
"script": "scripts/02_homola_replication.py",
"git_sha": "unknown",
"seed": 42,
"timestamp_utc": "2026-04-21T09:02:19.401598+00:00",
"study_window": [
"1976-01-01",
"2019-12-31"
],
"bin_days": 5,
"lag_range_days": [
-1000,
1000
],
"min_magnitude": 4.0,
"nmdb_coverage_threshold": 0.6,
"min_stations_requested": 3,
"min_stations_effective": 3,
"n_stations_used": 44,
"n_cr_bins_total": 3215,
"n_cr_bins_valid": 3215,
"cr_data_coverage_pct": 100.03,
"peak_lag_days": -525,
"peak_lag_bins": -105,
"peak_r": 0.469101,
"naive_p_value": 5.631233e-170,
"naive_sigma": 27.791,
"n_pairs_at_peak": 3110,
"r_at_tau_15d": 0.309878,
"p_at_tau_15d": 1.93927e-72,
"sigma_at_tau_15d": 18.0,
"n_lags_scanned": 401,
"note_significance": "Naive p from Pearson t-test treating 5-day bins as i.i.d. Not corrected for: (1) temporal autocorrelation, (2) shared solar-cycle trend, (3) scan over multiple lags. Expected to be grossly over-significant \u2014 corrected tests in phase 2."
}