2 commits

Author	SHA1	Message	Date
root	9c226807c1	Add OOS and combined analysis results (scripts 07-08) ... Out-of-sample (2020-2025): r(+15d)=+0.045, p=0.994 — not significant. Combined (1976-2025): p=0.039 (2.1σ), sinusoid P=9.95 yr, BF=27.5. Bayes factor strongly favours solar-cycle modulation over a constant, confirming the correlation is driven by the shared ~10-year solar cycle rather than a causal CR→seismic mechanism. Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-04-24 07:34:24 +02:00
root	1832f73f74	Add pre-registration and data availability report ... Pre-registered predictions written BEFORE any OOS analysis data is loaded (UTC 2026-04-22T00:44:30). OOS window: 2020-01-01 to 2025-04-29, constrained by NMDB reliable end date. 30 NMDB stations pass coverage threshold in this window. Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-04-22 02:45:19 +02:00