Pre-registered predictions written BEFORE any OOS analysis data is loaded (UTC 2026-04-22T00:44:30). OOS window: 2020-01-01 to 2025-04-29, constrained by NMDB reliable end date. 30 NMDB stations pass coverage threshold in this window. Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
358 lines
No EOL
7 KiB
JSON
358 lines
No EOL
7 KiB
JSON
{
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"run_date": "2026-04-22",
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"oos_start": "2020-01-01",
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"oos_end": "2025-04-29",
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"constrained_by": "NMDB",
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"nmdb_reliable_end": "2025-04-29",
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"usgs_reliable_end": "2026-03-08",
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"sidc_reliable_end": "2026-03-23",
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"good_stations_oos": [
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"AATB",
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"APTY",
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"ATHN",
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"BKSN",
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"DOMB",
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"DOMC",
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"FSMT",
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"INVK",
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"IRK3",
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"IRKT",
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"JUNG",
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"JUNG1",
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"KERG",
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"KIEL2",
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"LMKS",
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"MOSC",
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"MRNY",
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"MXCO",
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"NAIN",
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"NANM",
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"NEWK",
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"NRLK",
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"OULU",
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"PSNM",
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"PWNK",
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"ROME",
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"SOPB",
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"SOPO",
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"TERA",
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"THUL"
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],
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"flagged_stations": [
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"AATA",
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"DJON",
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"DRBS",
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"FSMT",
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"HRMS",
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"INVK",
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"IRK2",
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"IRK3",
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"KERG",
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"KIEL2",
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"LMKS",
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"MOSC",
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"MRNY",
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"MXCO",
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"NAIN",
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"NANM",
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"NEWK",
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"NRLK",
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"PTFM",
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"PWNK",
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"SNAE",
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"SOPB",
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"SOPO",
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"TERA",
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"THUL",
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"TSMB"
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],
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"nmdb_station_detail": {
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"AATA": {
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"status": "low_coverage",
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"coverage_oos": 0.2691,
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"last_date": "2022-09-14",
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"gap_days": 1316
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},
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"AATB": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.947,
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"last_date": "2026-04-20",
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"gap_days": 2
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},
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"APTY": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.9978,
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"last_date": "2026-04-21",
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"gap_days": 1
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},
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"ARNM": {
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"status": "no_data",
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"coverage_oos": 0.0,
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"last_date": null,
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"gap_days": null
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},
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"ATHN": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.8967,
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"last_date": "2026-04-21",
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"gap_days": 1
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},
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"BKSN": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.9861,
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"last_date": "2026-04-21",
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"gap_days": 1
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},
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"CALM": {
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"status": "no_data",
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"coverage_oos": 0.0,
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"last_date": null,
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"gap_days": null
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},
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"DJON": {
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"status": "low_coverage",
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"coverage_oos": 0.0499,
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"last_date": "2021-12-17",
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"gap_days": 1587
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},
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"DOMB": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.8481,
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"last_date": "2026-04-20",
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"gap_days": 2
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},
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"DOMC": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.9688,
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"last_date": "2026-04-20",
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"gap_days": 2
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},
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"DRBS": {
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"status": "low_coverage",
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"coverage_oos": 0.0226,
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"last_date": "2020-02-21",
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"gap_days": 2252
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},
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"FSMT": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.8746,
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"last_date": "2025-07-26",
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"gap_days": 270
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},
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"HRMS": {
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"status": "low_coverage",
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"coverage_oos": 0.0013,
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"last_date": "2021-06-01",
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"gap_days": 1786
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},
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"INVK": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.8763,
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"last_date": "2025-07-26",
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"gap_days": 270
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},
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"IRK2": {
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"status": "low_coverage",
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"coverage_oos": 0.0751,
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"last_date": "2020-07-27",
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"gap_days": 2095
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},
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"IRK3": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.5799,
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"last_date": "2025-05-22",
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"gap_days": 335
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},
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"IRKT": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.9015,
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"last_date": "2026-04-21",
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"gap_days": 1
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},
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"JBGO": {
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"status": "low_coverage",
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"coverage_oos": 0.3481,
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"last_date": "2026-04-20",
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"gap_days": 2
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},
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"JUNG": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.9978,
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"last_date": "2026-04-21",
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"gap_days": 1
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},
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"JUNG1": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.9957,
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"last_date": "2026-04-21",
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"gap_days": 1
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},
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"KERG": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.9709,
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"last_date": "2026-02-28",
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"gap_days": 53
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},
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"KIEL": {
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"status": "no_data",
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"coverage_oos": 0.0,
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"last_date": null,
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"gap_days": null
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},
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"KIEL2": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.5929,
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"last_date": "2023-10-03",
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"gap_days": 932
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},
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"LMKS": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.5586,
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"last_date": "2023-07-10",
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"gap_days": 1017
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},
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"MCRL": {
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"status": "low_coverage",
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"coverage_oos": 0.0,
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"last_date": null,
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"gap_days": null
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},
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"MGDN": {
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"status": "no_data",
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"coverage_oos": 0.0,
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"last_date": null,
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"gap_days": null
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},
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"MOSC": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.8286,
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"last_date": "2025-03-23",
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"gap_days": 395
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},
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"MRNY": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.776,
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"last_date": "2025-02-28",
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"gap_days": 418
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},
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"MXCO": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.8819,
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"last_date": "2025-10-13",
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"gap_days": 191
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},
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"NAIN": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.8516,
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"last_date": "2025-05-29",
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"gap_days": 328
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},
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"NANM": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.5716,
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"last_date": "2024-11-14",
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"gap_days": 524
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},
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"NEWK": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.8763,
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"last_date": "2025-07-26",
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"gap_days": 270
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},
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"NRLK": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.6801,
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"last_date": "2025-04-29",
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"gap_days": 358
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},
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"OULU": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.9983,
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"last_date": "2026-04-21",
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"gap_days": 1
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},
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"PSNM": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.9514,
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"last_date": "2026-04-19",
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"gap_days": 3
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},
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"PTFM": {
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"status": "low_coverage",
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"coverage_oos": 0.0009,
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"last_date": "2025-01-02",
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"gap_days": 475
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},
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"PWNK": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.8763,
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"last_date": "2025-07-26",
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"gap_days": 270
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},
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"ROME": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.8485,
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"last_date": "2026-04-21",
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"gap_days": 1
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},
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"SNAE": {
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"status": "low_coverage",
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"coverage_oos": 0.0009,
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"last_date": "2025-01-02",
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"gap_days": 475
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},
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"SOPB": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.8767,
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"last_date": "2025-07-25",
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"gap_days": 271
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},
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"SOPO": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.8767,
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"last_date": "2025-07-25",
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"gap_days": 271
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},
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"TERA": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.9466,
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"last_date": "2026-02-28",
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"gap_days": 53
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},
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"THUL": {
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"status": "ok",
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"coverage_oos": 0.8763,
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"last_date": "2025-07-26",
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"gap_days": 270
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},
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"TSMB": {
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"status": "low_coverage",
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"coverage_oos": 0.0004,
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"last_date": "2020-05-01",
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"gap_days": 2182
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}
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},
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"usgs_detail": {
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"status": "ok",
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"years_present": [
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2020,
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2021,
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2022,
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2023,
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2024,
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2025,
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2026
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],
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"total_events": 47860,
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"reliable_end": "2026-03-08",
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"note": "Catalogue stability: complete within ~30 days; using today-45 days"
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},
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"sidc_detail": {
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"status": "ok",
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"last_date": "2026-03-31",
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"definitive_end": "2026-03-31",
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"reliable_end": "2026-03-23",
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"n_records": 76061,
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"note": "Using provisional values (prov=1); definitive lag ~6 months"
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}
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} |