9c226807c1
Out-of-sample (2020-2025): r(+15d)=+0.045, p=0.994 — not significant. Combined (1976-2025): p=0.039 (2.1σ), sinusoid P=9.95 yr, BF=27.5. Bayes factor strongly favours solar-cycle modulation over a constant, confirming the correlation is driven by the shared ~10-year solar cycle rather than a causal CR→seismic mechanism. Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com> |
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|---|---|---|
| .. | ||
| detrended_xcorr.png | ||
| full_series_with_envelope_fit.png | ||
| geo_distance_lag.png | ||
| geo_heatmap.png | ||
| homola_replication.png | ||
| oos_xcorr.png | ||
| rolling_correlation_oos.png | ||
| stress_test.png | ||
