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root 9c226807c1 Add OOS and combined analysis results (scripts 07-08) 
Out-of-sample (2020-2025): r(+15d)=+0.045, p=0.994 — not significant.
Combined (1976-2025): p=0.039 (2.1σ), sinusoid P=9.95 yr, BF=27.5.
Bayes factor strongly favours solar-cycle modulation over a constant,
confirming the correlation is driven by the shared ~10-year solar cycle
rather than a causal CR→seismic mechanism.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-24 07:34:24 +02:00
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figs Add OOS and combined analysis results (scripts 07-08) 2026-04-24 07:34:24 +02:00
.gitkeep Add OOS and combined analysis results (scripts 07-08) 2026-04-24 07:34:24 +02:00
benchmark_gpu.txt Add analysis results: scripts 01-05 outputs 2026-04-24 00:45:17 +02:00
catalog_completeness.png Add analysis results: scripts 01-05 outputs 2026-04-24 00:45:17 +02:00
catalog_completeness.txt Add analysis results: scripts 01-05 outputs 2026-04-24 00:45:17 +02:00
combined_analysis.json Add OOS and combined analysis results (scripts 07-08) 2026-04-24 07:34:24 +02:00
combined_analysis_report.md Add OOS and combined analysis results (scripts 07-08) 2026-04-24 07:34:24 +02:00
data_availability.json Add pre-registration and data availability report 2026-04-22 02:45:19 +02:00
data_availability.txt Add pre-registration and data availability report 2026-04-22 02:45:19 +02:00
detrended_report.md Add analysis results: scripts 01-05 outputs 2026-04-24 00:45:17 +02:00
detrended_results.json Add analysis results: scripts 01-05 outputs 2026-04-24 00:45:17 +02:00
geo_localisation.json Add analysis results: scripts 01-05 outputs 2026-04-24 00:45:17 +02:00
geo_localisation_report.md Add analysis results: scripts 01-05 outputs 2026-04-24 00:45:17 +02:00
gutenberg_richter.png Add analysis results: scripts 01-05 outputs 2026-04-24 00:45:17 +02:00
homola_replication.json Add analysis results: scripts 01-05 outputs 2026-04-24 00:45:17 +02:00
out_of_sample_metrics.json Add OOS and combined analysis results (scripts 07-08) 2026-04-24 07:34:24 +02:00
out_of_sample_report.md Add OOS and combined analysis results (scripts 07-08) 2026-04-24 07:34:24 +02:00
prereg_predictions.md Add OOS and combined analysis results (scripts 07-08) 2026-04-24 07:34:24 +02:00
stress_test_report.md Add analysis results: scripts 01-05 outputs 2026-04-24 00:45:17 +02:00
stress_test_results.json Add analysis results: scripts 01-05 outputs 2026-04-24 00:45:17 +02:00